Science

When people say “believe the science” they are displaying a complete lack of understanding of what science is. Science isn’t a religion, it’s a process. Science is a process—specifically, a systematic method for acquiring knowledge about the natural world through observation, hypothesis formation, experimentation, measurement, data analysis, peer review, and iterative refinement. Its core features include:

  • Falsifiability: Theories must be testable and potentially disprovable (a key idea from Karl Popper).
  • Empiricism: Reliance on evidence from the real world, not authority or revelation.
  • Provisionality: Conclusions are always tentative and subject to revision with better data or new experiments. Newton’s laws were refined by Einstein; this is a feature, not a bug.
  • Reproducibility and skepticism: Results should be independently verifiable, and claims face ongoing scrutiny.

This contrasts sharply with religion, which typically centers on faith, revealed truths, sacred texts or traditions, rituals, and beliefs about purpose, morality, the supernatural, or the unobservable. Religions often involve dogma (core tenets accepted on authority) and are not required to make falsifiable predictions in the same empirical sense.

A person observes something happen, and when it happens consistently, it becomes a law. The law of gravity says that, if a let go of this pen in my hand, it will fall to the floor. Another example of scientific law includes Boyle’s Law, which describes what happens to the pressure and volume of a gas at constant temperature, but leaves out the why.

People have an idea as to why, and they design an experiment to prove or disprove that idea. If the idea is strong enough, it becomes a theory. The theory of gravity explains that the pen fell because all objects with mass have an attraction to each other that is the product of the mass of the two objects, and the inverse of the square between them. Newton proved that.

Scientific law describes WHAT happens, theory describes WHY.

Important nuances

Scientism (treating science as an infallible worldview or source of ultimate meaning) can resemble religious behavior in some people or movements. That’s a human failing in applying science, not science itself. True science remains humble about its limits—it doesn’t address “why” questions of purpose, ethics, or metaphysics directly.
Science operates within philosophical assumptions (e.g., the uniformity of nature, reliability of logic and evidence), but it doesn’t claim those as revealed truth; they’re pragmatic working assumptions tested by results.
Overlaps exist historically (many early scientists were religious and saw science as revealing divine order), and individuals can hold both scientific and religious views without contradiction, as they address different domains (e.g., “how the universe works” vs. “what it means”).

The statement is a useful shorthand for defending the integrity of the scientific method against dogmatic thinking or politicization. It doesn’t mean science has no cultural or social dimensions—scientists are human and institutions can err—but the process itself is designed to minimize those errors over time through evidence and criticism.

A scientific law or theory is only valid until some other set of facts proves it to be incorrect in some or all situations, then the law or theory has to be modified, or perhaps even scrapped altogether. Scientific laws and theories are never considered absolute, eternal truths. They are the best current explanations/models that fit the available evidence, and they remain open to revision or replacement when new, contradictory evidence emerges.

The year is 1949, and the Nobel Prize in Medicine has just gone to the man who invented the lobotomy. Your doctor suggests one for your sister, who has not been herself since the baby came. It is the most celebrated advance in psychiatry of the age, and he is simply current. By the time the prize curdles into an embarrassment, close to twenty thousand Americans have had the operation.

The year is 1956. Lay the baby down on his front, the doctor says. So does the most trusted childcare book ever written, the one on every new mother’s shelf. On his back he might choke, the reasoning goes. Millions obey. The advice holds for nearly thirty years, long after the evidence has quietly turned, and a generation of cot deaths is counted before anyone thinks to roll the babies over.

The year is 1966. A bestselling book informs your wife that menopause is a disease, that she is, in the author’s word, a castrate, and that a small daily pill will keep her youthful and tolerable to live with. Her doctor agrees. The drug becomes one of the most prescribed in the country. Nobody mentions that the author sat on the payroll of the company that made it. That detail surfaces decades later, in the same year the landmark trial is halted early for raising rates of breast cancer, stroke and clots.

The year is 1979. Your ulcer is caused by stress and sharp food, the doctor explains. Calm down, drink milk, take the antacid that happens to be the best-selling medicine on earth. Two Australians are about to prove that most ulcers are caused by a bacterium and cured by a fortnight of antibiotics. The profession laughs. One of them eventually drinks a beaker of the stuff to settle the matter. The establishment takes the better part of twenty years to stop laughing. The Nobel lands in 2005.

The year is 1985. Butter is dangerous, the doctor says. Switch to margarine, it is modern, it is heart-healthy, the experts are united. The spread he nudges you toward is loaded with trans fats, which the next decade will identify as the genuinely dangerous one, and which will eventually be banned outright. The butter goes quietly back in the fridge. No correction is ever printed at the volume of the original warning.

The year is 1992. There is a pyramid on the surgery wall, and the very same one in your grandchild’s classroom. Bread, cereal, rice and pasta form the broad virtuous base, up to eleven servings a day. Fat is exiled to the tiny tip. The chart was reportedly held back a year while the relevant industries had their say. It is wrong at the bottom and wrong at the top.

In short, I trust in science as a process. I don’t trust in science the religion. Your doctor has new guidelines, new studies, a fresh consensus, delivered with precisely the steady confidence of every guideline above. He believes it, and he has good reason to. None of them were villains. Each was sincere, most were kind, and all were certain, reading from a map that somebody else had drawn and handed them. That is the part worth considering: If the scientific community tells your medical provider that X therapy is going to do Y, they aren’t going to question it because the scientific community already (supposedly) has.

Thalidomide was developed in the mid-1950s by the German pharmaceutical company Chemie Grünenthal. It was introduced in 1957 and aggressively marketed as a “safe” sedative-hypnotic, and treatment for morning sickness in pregnant women. It was praised for being non-toxic in overdose (unlike barbiturates) and was sold over-the-counter in some places. Thalidomide was taken by pregnant women, primarily between 1958 and 1961. When taken during a critical window of early pregnancy, it caused severe developmental abnormalities in the fetus. Thousands of children were born without arms.

The drug was never properly tested, because people believed in the science without question. The same is true with the COVID vaccine. It was rushed to market without proper testing, and we still don’t understand all of the effects.

Don’t get too smug, however. I see people every day who are doing the same with hydroxychloroquine. There are people coming to the ED that have been taking HCQ for everything from headaches to constipation. It’s a good drug, but it isn’t a panacea.

The left is doing the same with transgenderism. They claim “the science is settled” because the new editions of the DSM no longer list gender dysphoria as a mental health problem.

Science isn’t a religion, it’s a process. Many times, we throw our faith into science the religion instead of science the process. In those cases, the process becomes a weapon of a public propaganda campaign that is designed to sell you something like a political position, or to sell a pharmaceutical. The process becomes a tool to sell you a bill of goods.

Question everything, even your own assumptions. Don’t be afraid to admit you were wrong. Being able to admit that you were wrong, or even misled, is the sign of a mature and scientific mind.

I Tried to Warn You

Many on the left (and even some on the right) have been complaining about the cost of housing.

Six years ago, I began warning people when our supposed small government oriented Republican governor Ron DeSantis issued an executive order prohibiting evictions, and continued that order several times through October of that year, effectively depriving property owners of their property without compensation. It wasn’t just Florida, many states did the same, some of them for up to two years. This resulted in huge losses to many landlords.

On top of that, landlords were told they couldn’t perform credit checks because racism. This also put upward pressure on rent prices.

Landlords have to be compensated for the increased risk of their investments. That’s how investing works- the higher the risk, the more the investment must yield or else no one will want to make the investment.

Then the Biden administration imported millions of illegal immigrants that increased housing demand. Even more pressure on housing prices.

Inflation isn’t the only thing that affects prices. Stop voting for retarded socialist policies.

Cameras

As any of you who are regular readers here know, whenever I undertake a major project, I always debate, design, and document the dog doo-doo out of it. (Sorry, I just liked the alliteration in that sentence) Remember the solar project?

I had a cheap camera system in my old house. One of those where you run cables to the cameras and they save to a hard drive in a dedicated DVR. When I moved to this house two and a half years ago, we transitioned to Ring cameras. I regret that decision for the following reasons:

  • The cameras send their video to the cloud
  • The cloud is just a word meaning “someone else’s computer”
  • This means you don’t own the data, and Amazon does all sorts of stuff with it.
  • The quality of the pictures is only slightly better than filming with a potato

Even though none of the cameras were inside the house (when we went on vacation, we temporarily put cameras in the house), I still don’t like other people having my data or pictures of my house. Since I installed an entire network worthy of a small office building. Why not use that to increase surveillance?

Infrastructure

For those reasons, I wanted to get a new camera system that overcame these deficiencies. I wanted this system to have:

  • 4k video
  • Enough storage for 30 days of video retention
  • Wired cameras, no wifi

What I decided on:

  • Ethernet cameras
  • recorded on the Synology RS1221+ that’s my network storage. That server holds 8 HDDs. I have it set up with a pair of RAIDs, one for my data, and one for recording camera video.
  • The camera RAID is composed of three 10 TB HDDs giving me about 18TB of storage space
  • That 18tb of space is enough for six 4k cameras recording 24/7 for about 60 days
  • Software is Surveillance Station, which allows 2 cameras before licenses need to be purchased for more

My plan is to have six cameras covering the property.

  1. general surveillance camera covering the front of the house
  2. another on the back porch
  3. one viewing the back of the house and the pool
  4. one that views the kitchen/living room
  5. a PTZ camera on the front of the house. This camera will have a 25 or greater optical zoom to allow distance viewing without losing too much resolution.
  6. Doorbell camera (this one will have to be WiFi)

Two of the cameras already had Ethernet wires running to them: the one on the back porch went in quickly with no issues. The one covering the front of the house did as well, but even though it was receiving POE power, no connection. I thought it was a faulty cable. It turns out the construction workers who installed the wire got the RJ45 jacks installed wrong. That was quickly taken care of. That gave me two cameras right away.

I went into the attic to run more ethernet cables and discovered that isn’t going to be possible. The header for the wall where the server is just isn’t accessible from up there. I do have an Ethernet cable run to both the front and back of the house that was put there when the house was built. I realized the best way to do this is to use those cables as a trunk that feeds a managed switch. These two switches will allow me to branch those trunk lines into an AP and a camera.

That’s exactly what I did.

This involved expanding my network. My network became a server cabinet that carries most of the Internet, but also required several edge switches to serve other clients. It looks like this:

             Core Switch
                     │
    ┌────────────────┼────────────────┐
    │                │                │
    ▼                ▼                ▼

Entertainment Pool Switch Front Switch

From there, it is easy. Wire the cameras in, and instruct the local (edge) switch to place the camera in the surveillance VLAN, the AP in the management VLAN, etc.

The entire project of Internet and cameras has gotten larger and more expensive than I planned on. I’m going to sit here on just the two cameras until next month, then install the doorbell and pool cameras. The PTZ camera will be last, simply because it’s the most expensive of them. That means I am on sort of a hybrid system at the moment, with two of my own camera and several Ring cameras.

Work in progress.

EDITED TO ADD

In case you haven’t caught on, I try to do a major project each year to improve my position. The first summer we were in this house, we added solar and Powerwalls so we would have backup power. The second summer was the pool, screened in lanai, and hurricane hardening. This summer is a two-fer. One of the projects is the network/camera project, the other is one that makes me far less happy. More on that later.

BOL no more

In 2015, I began stocking a cabin in Maine as a BOL. I had cached weapons, a boat, and a buttload of supplies there. All we had to do was get there, and we had enough supplies to get by. That is no longer the case. The caretaker of the facility passed away last year, and his wife has remarried. The new husband is not nearly as reliable, and is also a liberal. I no longer consider that location to be viable as a BOL.

I am making plans to head up there to retrieve most of our supplies, and we have decided to sell the boat, rather than drive up there to haul it all the way back. It’s more economical to sell it there and perhaps purchase a replacement down here.

I Can’t Disagree

Steven Crowder has a great piece on the Anthony conviction. He says the people who say “Not all blacks” are ignoring the fact that more than 77% of blacks support reparations. I can’t argue with that. Here is the segment:

There are those who will accuse me of racism for the things I post here. I actually am not, I go where the evidence takes me. The facts are there, and they have proven out decade after decade:

  • A white man in a poor black neighborhood is 12 times more likely to be murdered than his black counterpart, and black man is safer in any white neighborhood than he is in a poor black one.
  • More than half of all murders in this country are committed by the 13% of the US population that is black.
  • 33% of adult Black men had a felony conviction as of 2010
  • 60% of Black male high-school dropouts have been incarcerated by their mid-30s
  • By age 26, about 36% of young Black men have experienced probation and about 31% had experienced incarceration, with rates even higher among those from lower-education family backgrounds

Does that mean all blacks are criminals? No. However, even though the government doesn’t keep the statistics on this (it doesn’t fit the narrative), a black man between the ages of 13 and 30 is more likely to go to prison for a violent crime than he is to be in a successful career like doctor, lawyer, or accountant. In fact, without a college education, black men are statistically more likely to be violent felons than they are not.

That is just what the facts show. If you don’t ignore those facts, or scream about how they prove systemic racism, you are a racist. Following the facts is considered racism.

The problems with black culture that result in black crime, murder, and incarceration will never get fixed if we can’t even discuss the facts. However, we do have some serious race problems in this country. As Crowder points out, 74% of black people say that their race is central to their identity, while only 15% of whites do. That indicates a divide that is simply too wide to be bridged.

So what does that mean to us as a nation? There are too many factions for these States to stay United. The coming collapse is going to be violent, horrific, and involve the deaths of millions.

This is what I meant

When I posted about the Karmelo Anthony guilty verdict, this is what I expected to see:

Zimmerman, Penny, and Chow were all found not guilty. Had this poster just left it at Chauvin and Guyger, the argument would be more valid. Including people who were found to be innocent just makes the poster look foolish. To call it racism is simply retarded.

Then there is this mental midget:

So you want a “do over” that gives Anthony a second bite at the apple because everyone gets one get out of jail card for murder?

Another Tough Guy

Karmelo Anthony was found guilty after only three hours of deliberations. Of course, there are tons of his fellow blacks out there claiming he should get a new trial because his attorney was incompetent. or that he is going to win on appeal. That isn’t how it works, but then again, they don’t understand the law any better than they understand self defense.

Tough Guy

This is a story of a patient from a year or so ago, while I still worked for my last employer.

A patient comes in because he has had increasing shortness of breath for about two weeks. He was walking down a small hill from where he parked his motorcycle and fell, tumbling down the small incline. He fell about 10 feet or so, he says. His vitals look fine. He is a bit of an overweight guy, typical 60-something man trying to recapture his youth by riding a Harley.

So I ordered a chest x-ray, started an IV, and did his intake paperwork. No doctor is signed on to his case yet. If the x-ray shows anything significant, the technician who takes it will normally give me a heads up. He didn’t in this case. The image of the x-ray came up on my computer, I took one look at it and immediately flagged down the first passing doctor and said, “Hey, I know that you’re busy and this isn’t your patient, but you need to see this now.” Here is what it looked like:

In case you don’t know what you are looking at, the dark section on the left is a relatively normal looking lung. The heart and trachea are supposed to be on the right side of the image and are being pushed into the other side by the large amount of blood that is collapsing his left lung (which appears on the right in this image). If you look closely at the film, you can see all of the structures that are supposed to be midline are being pushed over. This is called a hemothorax, and is a life-threatening medical emergency where a massive volume of blood rapidly accumulates in the pleural space (the area between the chest wall and the lung). This buildup compresses the lung and puts dangerous pressure on the main vein bringing blood to the heart (the vena cava) and the heart, leading to cardiovascular collapse, severe respiratory distress, and shock.

The doctor took one look at this and said “Holy shit! I’m signing up for him. Get me set up for a chest tube and some conscious sedation. Call respiratory and let’s get ready to send him to a trauma center.”

The patient had a rather chubby neck with a beard so it wasn’t readily apparent, but if you put the finger of one hand on his Adam’s apple, and a finger from the other hand in his sternal notch, you could see that his windpipe was deviating to the patient’s right. He was a good sport and didn’t even mind that I brought a couple of new nurses into the room to see what a tension hemothorax looked like. Of course, he had no lung sounds on the left, and his heart tones were distinctly muffled. His pulse pressure was a bit narrow.

There were not any other nurses or respiratory technicians available to help in time, so I grabbed a nursing assistant and the three of us (doctor, myself, and aide) rapidly initiated conscious sedation and inserted a chest tube. That’s a handful for one nurse and a doctor to handle (the nurses aid is pretty much there to hold this, and hand me that and isn’t much of a help)- I had to administer sedation, monitor and maintain his airway and breathing, and chart everything. For one nurse to do all of that without help is a major safety issue, and is one of the (many) reasons why I don’t work for that hospital any longer. That place is just understaffed to the point of compromising patient safety.

Once we got the tube in place, we sent him for a CT scan, and it turns out he had 4 ribs broken in two places- a classic flail chest. If you put your hands on his rib cage, you could feel the paradoxical motion of the chest wall. This is incredible, considering that he walked in to the ED and had been walking around like this for two weeks. The video below shows you what paradoxical motion looks like, but my patient’s wasn’t quite as pronounced as the video (and was located under his left armpit).

Anyhow, I pulled about 2 liters of blood from his chest cavity before we crimped off the tube because we didn’t want him losing too much blood. A helicopter came and took him to a trauma center, and the trauma surgeon was still pissed because we took out so much blood.

The patient made a full recovery.